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a new council for winter with the euro at cruising speed Kroes

By the way, yesterday I had a little discussion on twitter . I'm a fan of Barroso, as you know. I said an adviser to the Commission which is the one that has moved for a common EU position before the events in Egypt and Tunisia. I asked for evidence. I think that Barroso is the leader most committed to a political Europe, and I've always said but lacks capacity to impose. affirm that the Barroso Commission has II a higher profile and ambitious than we imagined, but he has had to deal with strange times. Anyway. Life goes on and we can still find reasons to poetry. I love February. Always inspired me. Is very short, vitalizing. The heart of winter. This Friday the 4 comes the new Council of winter in Brussels. The agenda of the 27 planned Energy and R & D. But also talk about the euro, added at the last minute point. Will address the possible increase in the European Financial Stability Fund (FEEF), at the request of Barroso, who is very persistent, as we know. We have been talking for over a year of turbulence of second chances, emergency landings, blah, blah, blah. It seemed that in recent quarters each Council meeting in Brussels was the story of a Greek tragedy. As one would expect, the writers addicted to the corridors (which Wikileaks fashion have been trampled on the ground) are looking scuffle and magnifying discord in their columns and commentary. an insider account that the private and dined Tuesday Merkel and Barroso tensely in a baroque palace in Berlin (attached photo of the site). The reporter who enters the details are recreated in the course disagree about increasing the stability fund, and just introducing Van Rompuy as a solution. I could not disagree more. In fact, it appears that Barroso was so persuasive that Berlin is reconsidering famous increase of 440 billion euros FEEF.

Now that we are about to put the autopilot in command of the single currency, it is anachronistic to influence the internal squabbles among European leaders, although I understand that this band greatly among English-speaking readers (by the way, do not miss this article and comment from a reader who places the hand of the CIA after the UK's accession to the EU). It is true that the UK is the eternal rebel without a cause, but so is that it is the only practicing tactics "Empty chair" to boycott the negotiations on the boards, while debate on a possible referendum law conditional on future developments in European integration. Undoubtedly, a scenario that the British away from the single currency, but anything is possible, because I have that Cameron was very advocate of the euro in Davos last weekend, plus it is more pro-European senses in recently. How about the joint statement in Germany, France and Britain on the situation in Egypt that was published this Sunday? The issue of cross reactions in Europe to Egypt and Tunisia conflict deserves a special post day ...

wanted to talk in Brussels. This Friday will be discussed again at the Council on the future of the euro, and therefore go again today to try to shed light for all those people who often wonder what advantages has for us to enter the euro, or, if you have any sense to keep the single European currency. I tired the matter, and insist all that is needed in the elementary concepts. I'm sorry I over-extended in this introduction because I want to convey the idea is simple, even without falling into "my natural prejudices Federalists," though the euro is the most practical example of what is an instrument designed to address federal problems that states are unable to undertake themselves.

start remembering that the creation of the euro has been the most momentous step in the unity of Europe. We will continue to mention the crisis of the seventies, one in which European countries found that the instability of their currencies was an obstacle that criminalizes domestic economic development. Pass on tiptoe for the snake, in the eighties, which allowed exchange rates to converge to the Member States. In that situation, the worst positioned States failed to put its debt on the financial markets.

Therefore, in the nineties were encouraged to delegate monetary policy to an institution independent, as is the European Central Bank. The mere membership of the euro had a double dividend: reduced interest rates and, therefore, all countries had access to cheaper credit, and facilitated the placement of the sovereign debt markets, relying on the good health of the euro, absorbing healthy economies. However, the euro eliminated the ability of devaluation, an instrument traditionally used by governments to try to regain competitiveness by increasing exports. However, some forget that devaluation is not so advantageous, because it also reduces the value of the debt with foreign creditors if it is denominated in local currency, but the increases if in foreign currency. This may cause the international credit rating of a country is sinking.

precisely this argument is what makes it so expensive now out of the euro. The state will do so severely penalized.

During the first eight years of the euro all going well, until the markets started to distrust. Although not unique, the two most notorious cases have been the Greek and Irish. Greece collapsed, as its domestic consumption grew faster than its production, creating a debt which, moreover, had been concealed by the manipulation of official figures. In Ireland, the housing bubble created also too much debt and a surplus of housing over 20%. Also Italy, Portugal, Spain and Belgium were found with unusual levels of debt and a strong problem in their sovereign debt.

As we know, from May 2010 there is a formal mechanism that shines through political influence on the economy. I refer to the European Financial Stability Fund (FEEF). From then until the famous shot of China recently, it has rained a lot. It is suspected the existence of an agreement within Europe that would play outside rating agencies, which currently live off-peak times. Let me explain. For now, this system of debt paper purchase secondary to reduced prices, so those countries I mentioned can reduce their sovereign debt. It must be said that most holders of these debts are banks and European insurers, some semi-public, so that in fact interpreted by some Member States themselves are putting pressure on these institutions to speculate not demanding higher interest on the bonds, although in return get the implicit guarantee of these bonds will not deteriorate.

What the euro has to do with it?
We have a 16-euro area Member States, whose governments have to make loans on the international market to pay their debts. The eurozone conducive to countries are mutually supportive, but the Treaty prevents bailouts. Should therefore be amended by the Lisbon Treaty to increase the capacity of FEEF, and this explains why Germany has expressed its desire to amend the Treaty, precisely to avoid bankruptcy in a Member State has a cost shared by all. That is, the euro, first, means sharing costs, and secondly, requires states to recover their economies without resorting to devaluation, which forces an increase in demand and productivity, shrinking public expenditure, reducing wages, and all the hard and unpleasant measures with great political cost.

Monetary union is pushing us towards a government supranational economic. National leaders can no longer act freely, but must be consistency. No longer serves the open coordination that we got used to the system obsolete and Agenda 2000. The prospect of a European economic government raises fears, even among Federalists apparent as Angela Merkel. Let's be clear, Merkel is not just reliable and therefore prefer to benefit from less political mechanisms, such as the European Monetary Fund, where all Member States should put meat on the grill, taking risks, especially because Germany has so far played the role of savior.

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The EU troika, the ECB and the IMF designed the support mechanism that has facilitated the placement of sovereign debt in the market. Thus, the market absorbed with astonishing speed and ease the first debt issuance FEEF (5 million euros in bonds to 5 years) at a moderate 2.5% interest.

Under this mechanism, which is made visible is that Member States are funding surpluses the creditworthiness of the entire eurozone. As you biennacidos be grateful, we will put a face to these generous countries: Germany, France, Luxembourg, Finland, Holland and Austria, although it was not necessary because the design of the euro is based on a confederalism that in this case, imposed on Member States to benefit from FEEF strong fiscal discipline and compliance, at last, the restrictions imposed by the now defunct Stability and Growth Pact. So

economic governance is implicitly assumed for the creation of monetary union has been materialized by expedited.

For example, just entered the invention of Van Rompuy and task force, the "European semester", the practice of national governments to submit in the first half of each year's budget and policies annual structural. Detect possible unbalancing the EU and the Council Shall identify each March the main economic challenges facing the EU, and provide strategic guidance to Member States, from which the government presented its medium-term budget strategies for the stability and convergence. Every July, based on the plans submitted in April, the European Council and the Council will submit their particulars to the Member States.

to consolidate this approach would exceed the old Stability and Growth Pact, the whole world to ride roughshod, and presumably will get a double benefit: improving the credibility (the least economical) of States and consolidate the recovery after 2013, upon expiration of the Stability Fund mechanism, which leads from head to Barroso.

This type of movement that refer to a homogenization of macroeconomic and fiscal standards in the eurozone, to some extent, are reminiscent of a federal Europe, but in a way it seems that could have immediate translation into the Eurobond issue.

federalization The scenario is the most encouraging. In fact, the Eurobonds would be issued by a European debt agency at the request of Member States. These bonds would be guaranteed by the EU as a whole. It is true that Germany is opposed, since it is supported to avoid a union in which the strong help the weak in a systematic way. However, consider the United States, a large federation with many asymmetries that is sustainable because it operates on the precept, ie transfers between states of the union. One option that said Germany, however, was the creation of the European Monetary Fund, through which governments can not raise money in private markets could get them from other European states, under strict conditions. In all scenarios, the reality of internal devaluation (austerity) for countries affected by the economic crisis seems inevitable, although it could be mitigated if institutionalized economic governance in the EU. For now, we know that China has targeted a number of Member States, acquiring sovereign debt (six billion euros of English bonds), which tells us that China is not at all concerned that the euro will disappear, which has a large trading partner in a European Union, the stronger and more stable. Do not second reading at the moment. Governments will have to impose the necessary restrictions, but the survival of the euro seems assured. So say the markets, and as rating agencies, they might be throwing the closure. Now it remains to see if it goes Barroso with it. Depends on which trend is going to impose on the Council this Friday. In March it expects decisive meeting of the Eurogroup. Let's enjoy the quiet while it lasts.


Image: Scholss Meseberg, where they dined Merkel and Barroso on Tuesday.

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The pan-European and the Commission in line with EU

There goes my last post on the hill of January, on Friday, completed the ritual of taking a hot bath with classical music background. I hear it on an audio cd's I have of adolescence, and has been moving through successive baths of my home since then. The discs also have been hoarding over the years. You see I'm from a generation outmoded. Now the fashion is to download everything. Just this week approved a law to regulate popular downloads in Spain, although this debate extends to the entire European Union, with which we share market, where the Commission has announced today new features. Brussels is considered the creative sector as a competitive bracket, which the Europeans can make a difference, although this framework for action must be common to both authors, and those who own the rights to their creations, and also for the broadcast.

is an old debate, because in 2005 the Commission issued a warning to authors' societies not to compete between them, because musicians were paid royalties only to the agency in your country and ceded to external collection agencies in each Member State. This resulted in an unfairness to those lower-level musicians, who do not sell their products abroad, and ultimately fail anyone to buy their licenses. Primarily by legal and bureaucratic complexity of multiplying the licenses for each state. Instead, there are people who think that European unification agency copyright management that small groups will disappear and the music definitely is imposed mainstream.

The EU will regulate this matter in 2011, but has not yet decided whether to take the form of directive, which imposed on all Member States equally standard, without being altered by national parliaments. The European Commission decided some time to regulate the societies that collect royalties for musicians, such as the famous and feared SGAE in Spain. There is currently a legal vacuum on how to operate and manage the data these companies collect and manage copyrights and trying to restrict the leeway that has prevailed so far, with clearly abusive behavior. It's an old-do within the European strategy to harmonize patents, trademarks, protection of rights, discharge control ... this Wednesday met the actors involved ( stakeholders in our jargon) with Jorn, who takes these issues on Barnier's cabinet , Internal Market Commissioner, who has taken the lead in this battle, which on paper would fall within the scope of the Dutch Kroes, Commissioner for the Digital Agenda ... either way, Jorna has taken it to heart and has not ceased to meet with organizations in the world of intellectual property since last summer.

Indeed, some (the usual) fear that after this could hide a draconian system of close monitoring of the copyright. If you put the magnifying glass, can be said that the proposal from the Commission is very much in tune with the famous law Sinde, that affects the monitoring of Internet activity and violations. The Commission has a clear position, while the European Parliament has also expressed this January, but only to request that the Directive does not infringe on basic individual rights. Indeed, some MEPs from the socialist and liberal groups have come to say that there is "the risk of the Commission to impose a regime Hadopi type throughout the Union." In fact, Hadopi is a French law of 2009 which became so famous as the Sinde, to create an agency that controlled the activity and movement of files on the Internet, to cut off access to the Internet to users who have violated the law three times. That law was amended so that only a judge in France can now cut off access to the Internet, and Spain. The funny thing is that Hadopi now is in limbo, since it is precisely in the next few weeks the French Council of State must determine its validity, and make it according to what the European Parliament to vote on this law. Indeed, a good example of the relevance of decisions taken in Parliament.

In the same area, and very much in line with the concept pan-European licensing defends Kroes, an idea that the Commission is particularly welcome is the creation of a meeting (for music and the like) where users can purchase licenses content for any (or all) member states of Twenty-seven. Be seen whether Parliament will set aside his belligerence in relation to individual rights or go beyond rule-in a somewhat ambiguous in the sense of demanding respect and protection of cultural diversity.

There are many more actors involved in this debate. From the outset, the Court of Justice, which examines whether the filtering of Web content is in According to European law regarding copyright and the ACTA agreement, a multilateral trade agreement signed in Geneva in 2008 that defines international standards on intellectual property rights. ACTA raises concern among telecommunications companies and Internet providers, because they believe in their regulation is exceeded, even surpassing the acquis communautaire, and ensure that affected the competitiveness of the European Union in relation to other parts of the world.

However, despite the lobbies, hallways say MEPs in the great battle is going to fight the European Commission, which no doubt, having involved the warlike Kroes Case, who has always been opposed to the fragmentation of the system of royalties, "because it has come to give more power and relevance to intermediaries that the artists themselves." Touché . Okay. I'm with Kroes in this battle.

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From "babycrash European" to "babyboon" Chinese

says a Chinese proverb:

"If you want a year of prosperity, plant corn, if you want ten years, plant trees, if you want one hundred years, people planting ".

This proverb explains why the entry of the huge labor force of China in the global economy may be the most profound change in fifty or a hundred years. China, along with other emerging giants like India and Brazil have doubled the global labor force, raising global production and hence future global prosperity. According to the family planning policy of China, made in the early seventies, People peak working age between 16 and 60 years will be in 2016, according to government estimates these represent 990 million (approximately 80% of the total population) . This contrasts with the defendant demographic deficit living Europe, the decline in fertility, or "baby crash", with an increasingly aging population, estimated by 29% in 2050 (age 64) . Aging of not only increased spending in the health system and financing issues social security, but also a decrease in potential GDP growth, loss of competitiveness and productivity decline, unless remedied with a proper immigration policy ... But the truth is that nobody talks about immigration policy, social policy or , if not correct "policy of capitalization of private pensions", which addresses, in principle, problems of financing social security, and of course the fierce mouths hungry lobbyists who manage private pensions, but do not solve or growth or demographic rates, and increase competitiveness or productivity, let alone the welfare state, far from improving, is weakening, and will continue to weaken in the near future.

In this circumstance, is accompanied by the fact that the global slowdown due to the severe financial crisis is particularly acute in the advanced economies, growth has declined overall, except in emerging and developing economies , where they have been less affected by the crisis and continue to grow, led precisely because China and India.

Trade relations between the two powers are and will be marked by these population differences, although currently the EU represents a market economy with sound principles and consistent with a globalized world, an open market transparent, with a comparative economic advantage based on innovation itself and the research itself, but with an aging population , where outside influences have shown us that the globalization of trade has benefits, but carries risks, and that no developed economy is recipe to successfully overcome the risks. On the other hand we have China, with an economic concept based on an economy of scale, where the price of the product and cheap labor are its main asset, along with the young population, a potential starting to be aware . Different ways of understanding the economy, but reconcilable if the desired purpose is to improve living conditions and achieving social, economic and labor for the entire world population. But ... the very nature of trade causes the balance to tilt ever stronger side, and on the basis of the data and future prospects of China, this, in the near future seems to be the Asian giant's hand and intended to play a key role in the coming years as a world power. The economy does not understand human rights, labor rights or social rights. So I ask you this change will involve a reduction in the European welfare state and global future? Or perhaps we are already beginning to notice? "Changes in the way we work, live? Or maybe just be a form of redistribution of global wealth that we have not been able to do, and now it is imposed?. Undoubtedly, questions to which answers are everyday around us ..

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Sinde file to Hungary for an asynchronous space-time towards the equilibrium

is a stale debate. Should be, and I wanted to avoid talking about this, because I feel unworthy of Europe. Area: European Union. And totally out of time in our over-age. Time: the Internet and information galore. From January 1, Hungary, is in effect a law that threatens media against freedom of expression. I suppose you heard of this because we fought more than a month. As I hear. Hungary is not only Member State of the Union, but also holds the rotating EU presidency. The news was discussed here and on twitter before Christmas and there were many demonstrations and protests, to the point that came to be questioned 's own presidency. For now, the Orban government has ignored warnings from Brussels, saying that technical issues affecting law or infringe the freedom to express opinions. However, Commissioner Kroes has decided to take decisive action. Last Friday sent a personal letter to the Hungarian government which requires an amendment to the law within fifteen days, with confirmation that the law is contrary to basic EU law. Kroes, finally, has threatened to punish Hungary formally if not removed, or modified, the law.

Orban was elected last April 25, 2010 to reorganize the Central State in the financial and economic situation of concern and has been quick to promote this legislation, and fines up to 730,000 euros for press , digital media, radio and television in the event that any of their news "affecting the public interest, public order and morality." Expand on details, but the three aspects of media law Orban concern to the European Commission are:

1. The requirement that "all" the media provide coverage "balanced" information.

2. The imposition of fines and restrictions on news content from other Member States.

3. The obligation on all media and reporters independienetes, including bloggers, to register officially.

Obviously, this third direct assault on freedom of establishment, and is a barrier to the free provision of services. For the Commission, the Charter of Fundamental Rights takes precedence over national laws guaranteeing freedom of expression, so that means that the concept of balanced information (which includes the Hungarian law) is an excuse to condition the informant. As for the restriction of content from other countries only could be done to safeguard the protection of minors or in cases of incitement to hatred or violence, and not so broadly as claimed Orban. It is also a law that invites in the jargon is called "shooting the messenger" because it forces journalists to reveal their sources to the Authority, created for this purpose, on matters of "national security" (another very subjective term), the law does not lose detail and follows, for example specifying that it will fine the media who engage in insults that target majorities, minorities, nations and the Church.

should be stressed that this law implies sanctions, which provides an important capability and excessive discretion to shift political power over the media. Does anyone is able to determine when information is balanced? So much they fear that any citizen can express their views freely on the Web without having to submit to an official record? As one would expect, this law involves the creation of a government agency, the National Media (nine-year term), which will ensure that control information.

Brussels can not tolerate this attack on freedom. MEPs we see in the image speak for themselves. For then the Eurosceptic sympathetic to Bruno Waterfield go comparing to the European institutions with monarchs ... and make little jokes with gilded carriages Strasbourg (stating that I have laughed with his chronicle, and stating that I am in favor of eliminating the absurd double parliamentary seat). But the European Parliament does not need glitz to justify their existence. There are many struggles, and today we focus on the Hungarian media law, full of inaccuracies and insults to the intelligence, law old-fashioned muzzle imposed by Orban, who comes to power with an authoritarian style.

Not surprisingly, organizations like the International Press Institute (IPI), with its subsidiary, South Europe Media Organisation (SEEMO), Freedom House, the European Federation of Journalists (EFJ) and the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE) have also criticized the media law. Hungary is a member state since 2004. It seems that these six years of membership in the European Union are not having a translation into practice government policy. It's a stain too striking to pass up. I hope that Kroes will get away with it and during the month of February can testify here is good news for freedom of the Hungarians.

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A legislator momentum, typical of periods of intense crisis, also moral. The process of adjustment disorder is irreversible and will be good if you avoid greater evils. Not only is financial stability at risk. Spain. Europe. I I said at the time that the harsh measures taken by the English government in May 2010 were needed not only on prescription in the eurozone, especially for reasons of political and economic logic. If anything characterized the Zapatero government in the beginning was a tendency to favor similar. If something is making its final stages is common sense. Perhaps because my days are numbered, which is already a chronicle of death foretold, the government is more active, deep and harmonious. However, the two laws that I mean consensus today, and they deserve an analysis of greater significance than the simple view that Versare in these lines. It is the house brand of national political comment, but I grabbed the two stories have a European perspective and fit in the community value system (incidentally, this look, how funny!). The first

positive news is that under the new plan to rescue the banks, the English financial institutions will have to achieve certain goals of recapitalization. Today's announcement coincides with the publication of the IMF Report where exactly is the European Union recalls the need to monitor banks more intensively, they are presenting weak balance sheets, when almost four years after the outbreak of the financial crisis across the Atlantic. The parallel debate is that the FEEF (the European mechanism is activated in Greece, Ireland and Portugal) should be increased and made more flexible. Spain has been spared so far, but at the national level we are finding that rigor has been scarce here, and we have simulated the viability of the unviable. It is true that there were already rules (Basel and three versions), but these were dodging more or less trace. Now, banks not listed (which are more reliant public sector, therefore) must recapitalize before September, getting private sector resources, so that entities should not get into banks to gain access to bailout funds of Frob. This is not an indiscriminate attack on the boxes, despite being challenged entities for many reasons, especially by the presence of politicians and unions in their advice. All this makes us think that stress tests have been unsuccessful in obtaining the trust of the capital, to the extent that the government is recognizing, along with the Bank of Spain, that only through the conversion of English savings banks in purely private entities (banks) is the market willing to trust them. In short, these entities will have to approach by law enforcement to the natural logic of the market, and can not resist the test of realism, will be tapped for direct nationalized in an effort to provide certainty and predictability in their operation. The benefits will be shared by all, both in monetary union (sacrifice flexibility) and the English economy (private credit wins sustainability).

The second and controversial news has to do with intellectual property rights, Law governing the Sustainable Economy , namely the "Law Sinde", last night was welcomed by most parties, including PP and CiU, and thus be processed. Of course, with the amendments proposed by these parties, which are related to a fair trial and the adjustment of the digital canon European law. Thus, on one side, remove the charge on the companies, following the Court of Luxembourg, and, secondly, it prevents anyone to profiting improperly peddling contents that has not acquired rights. It can close websites that engage in that particular offense. The specificity has allowed the parties the opposition support the bill at the last minute is not penalized if they share information about your property, but that profit at the expense of such information or of the material that has a tangible value on the market. The page can not be arbitrarily close, but expected the intervention of an independent body (with representatives of political parties, etc.), Which will ensure the legality on the Internet, and the final decision of a judicial body, to ensure not indiscriminate application of the law. Thus, within a period not exceeding 48 hours, invite the offender to remove illegal content. In this sense, does not infringe freedom of expression, touchstone of hardcore Internet insomnia. The advantage of this law, in market terms, is to reactivate a highly damaged by the indiscriminate piracy, and force the industry to invent new forms of business to a more competitive cost (webs with large packages at affordable prices Downloads , etc.), while allowing the operator receives fair compensation for their work. Two laws of consensus, two laws governing the market, but they wish to ensure best performance. It is not easy to regulate the imbalance, but these two laws have the virtue of seeking a balance no longer exists. These are modest beginnings, long distance, but in the right direction.

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Belgian law and (dis)

Surprisingly, Belgium has successfully completed its six-month presidency of the EU, despite being a country without government (well, with a functioning government, which seeks to preside Leterme, with Vande Lanotte as mediator). Perhaps the Belgian case is an example of what they are dispensable national governments in a supranational Europe. Belgian border issue is a déjà vu is so timeless it could be perfectly applicable to various political moments in the last decade. Today we have more than 220 days without government in Belgium *, and but earlier this month of January there was a government proposal, the coalition negotiations between the seven parties involved are no prospects. One does not know where to place the Belgian politicians between shame and shamelessness. Side we have the ultra-nationalist Flemish N-VA (New Flemish Alliance), socialists, democrats and greens, and side Walloon socialists, democrats and greens. Indeed, liberals on both sides not involved in the negotiations. Currently the classic Belgian consensus passed away and the Democrats and the castle N-VA, traditional allies.

Following my thesis that the lower tiers of government manage more suitable, in the Belgian case shows that, despite the lack of federal national government, regions and municipalities follow their normal course of politics and do it very effectively. But the problem goes beyond everyday politics, because the pieces of the puzzle fell apart after the elections on June 13, 2010, beating the conservative and separatist N-VA, held on the always subjective and questionable notion that "the Walloons remain with our money. "

Beyond the political mess, the immediacy has to do with the credit status of the Belgian state. The warnings from international agencies points to the risks Belgium financial flows, to the extent that political uncertainty would threaten the reliability of the country's sovereign debt. The international economic situation can take a toll on the Belgian debt if it extends the impression that there is a government capable of making decisions about the deficit. So much so that in the euro area are already on notice. Belgium has come openly as a candidate to receive rescue funds FEEF, like Ireland, Greece and Portugal.

Political chaos is already evidence, but never before had been raised as far as openly breaking the state. The need for institutional reform is supported on both sides the conflict, while Flanders continues determined to follow the path towards independence, relying primarily on the positions of the more conservative parties. Rumour that flamingos only wary of their own secessionist ambitions for fear of losing influence in Brussels and, therefore, that the Dutch capital back in Europe, where surprisingly it is estimated that less than 5% of the population is speech.

In fact the big problem convivial part of the periphery of Brussels, which is French and is territorially inserted in Flanders, where so is the very Brussels which is bilingual de jure and de facto Francophone although the official language is Dutch. Apart from this "obstacle" called Brussels (which is also capital of the European Union), raising questions about the alleged targets of Flanders economically prosperous region which some observers see as a political satellite of Germany, and Wallonia openly perceived candidate to annex territory to France. Ignoring

speculation, citizens took the floor this weekend. The next Sunday, January 23, there will be a demonstration in Brussels to express the citizens are fed to the paralysis of the country, a citizenship that requires a government after six months of permanent crisis. The inability of the Flemish and Walloon leaders to establish dialogue and concluding an agreement with the Belgian population exasperated, tired of political surrealism.

One of the slogans of the organizers is " No Government, great country." This is an event that aims to unite and overcome the famous march to November 2007, which brought together 30,000 French-speaking Brussels. This time also involved civic movements and Flemish university.

The institutional problem turns Belgium into cannon fodder for the financial markets. The language problem destroys coexistence. The organizers want to end up with the dynamics of constantly faced irreconcilable cultures. The Belgian case expresses the worst of the political incapacity. My position is clear: no more borders in Europe. Sunday's event should be a city that symbolizes the desire to break down, once the boundary between two linguistic communities within a European Union, who was born and remains a vocation to break down borders.


* Overcoming the record for the Netherlands, which was 208 days without government in 1977.

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Years pass and weigh, but people of my generation are not used to question the future too. We had so many opportunities until we have allowed ourselves the luxury of wasting some of them. The best and worst was lucky. Given us much wine, but if we had certainty in difficult times (such as the crisis of the nineties) is that almost nothing is forever, except the state and its protective mantle, but we are more or less rebelled against the impositions of power that so often strike us as arbitrary. The welfare state in the European part of our perfectly seated cultural values. A safety net financed by all facilitated us to take personal risks. The risk-taking had been prompted by that other great value, capitalism. Not in vain have been a generation of entrepreneurs. There is an objection. If we have seen with good eyes, a marked improvement in social cohesion and quality of life of our citizens, if we defended and we have opted for equal opportunities, we have seen how that has been protecting state and is able to limit-up choke-the entrepreneurial drive.

Today, those born in the seventies we approach middle age with a severe disability, with most of the uncertainties about the future because there is no guarantee, not success, but a tangible alternative. While senses and have the disorientation of the political leaders, whose moral integrity or intellectual can legitimately doubt, perceived lack of opportunities that others did: our parents, which grew from nothing in a world where everything was up.

Today's crisis is largely attributable to the lack of entrepreneurial awareness among decision makers. Our parents found prosperity in the liberal response. When Spain was liberalized, the old social problems, poverty, illiteracy, etc., Able to fight through economic growth, which provided the resources to employ more people and to generate public goods that articulates the welfare state. It was JK Galbraith who established the idea that growth is financed by public services. However, and even noted the failure of planned economic systems (the collapse of communism), many intellectuals and politicians who insist that economic growth should be restricted, because he responsible for the spoliation of the environment decompensation of demographic, economic imbalances. The notion of a society of affluence has been criticized by many liberals, including the classic Stuart Mill, who called on states to seek and promote growth zero economic, leading to steady state. These liberals, therefore, interpreted the excessive greed would be a target undesirable, even harmful to society. Does it come the great financial crisis to account those who criticized the affluent society? In my opinion, yes.

The current crisis represents a double threat to us, as embodied in the vulnerability of the welfare state and the weakness of the single currency, the euro. There is an irrefutable fact, the debt crisis (here and elsewhere) has been the fundamental factor in the lack of assets. Countries have had many years thanks to cheap credit, creating a debt structure giant, banks could not bear. We only know the European wars of books, we see how Europe remains particularly vulnerable to the global financial crisis, when it has been more than two long years since its inception. The financial crisis, therefore, interferes in our economy, even though ours is a capitalist system inserted in the European Union, whose raison d'etre has been sustained and sustainable growth in order to maintain the welfare state. It is obvious that the collapse of the monetary union would be devastating, because the amount of interest in the survival of the euro beyond what we can say. As for the state welfare, it seems doomed, at least, to reinvent itself, and that sooner or later will have serious financial problems.

Europe is risky, Europe was willing to risk conceiving after monetary union to political union with all the inequalities and asymmetries between Member States familiar. In the mid-twentieth century Europeans were able to forge a protective state model, consolidating the European middle classes. Similarly, the leaders of the late twentieth century Europeans pushed for the sustainability of a monetary union, with complex and risky political implications. It consolidated the government experiment governments.

Monetary union is the paradigm of renunciation of power control that gave money to states and submission to a European Central Bank, devoid of political power, but vigilante obsessed with price stability. The evolution of the single currency has led to parallel legislation, directives limiting the economic maneuverability Member States to give up direct power, just as a federation of political capacity is split between center and periphery.

I've always been in favor of a system of fiscal federalism in the European Union, regional financial instrumented, such as structural and cohesion funds. Although this point is controversial, and the Germans can not publicly acknowledge, in my opinion in the EU the redistribution is done through the cohesion funds, in the sense of foregone once perceptive regions no longer eligible, because they improve regional income level. So cohesion funds do not redistribute income, but they do regional incomes converge, regardless of the personal income of its inhabitants. Technically, however, the redistribution concerns via personal income tax. If the desideratum is that economic policy should be supranational, it is clear that there should be some centralized redistributive effect. To this should be delegated fiscal policy to Brussels today utopia, but as each day passes ... less.

impositions from Brussels calls are actually encouraged by political decisions, not just survival of the euro, but a terribly fragile economic system in the context of economies that are no longer competitive as ours. The markets continue to decide the allocation of capital, but the markets always bet for competitive economies, which offer them security. The functioning of markets can only partially be intuitive, but it is too complex (even chaotic) and to allow governments to interfere to the point of avoiding chaos. The market tends to reward good results, guarantees of future competitiveness, ie the reward is better placed, but also can make mistakes in their decisions, tend to abusive behavior.

is a fact that there is a risk of market abuse on the weak economy. This requires government intervention. I have no doubt. If you support the regulation of global financial markets, if I defend the good regulation that avoids the side effects of this excessive wealth, I also consider it necessary to rethink the state. Apart from economic and political effectiveness of the states, is a evidence that the welfare state is at risk of becoming an insatiable machine, able to spend money very quickly, absorbing much of the economic growth of a nation. Furthermore, in the English case, the structure of private debt ultimately affects the state, which had to bail out many banks to avoid collapse and a possible long recession. Know that we still do not know exactly what is the rate of bad debt in our country.

Today, many gatherings English discussion revolves around the survival of the state of the autonomies. The debate is very relevant. It remains to be seen whether the English autonomous system has become a structural constraint to economic growth. Would probably have to sacrifice some of the regional administrations, those that are not well dimensioned. The state of autonomy, of dubious effectiveness, has dramatically increased costs and is doubtful you have corrected the economic and social disparities. It is possible that the autonomous parliaments have tended to sobrelegislar, when what is expected of a decentralized administration is managed in accordance with the rules central / federal / supranational. In any case to limit the temptation to sobrelegislar the center of power that constrain abuses of the center but not that sobrelegisle.

If the market unit defined by the European boundaries, there is no doubt that the central state in Spain should be painted very little. The European standard premium and the Member States have to strip them of powers no longer have any sense, when the major regulations that affect the market and the economy are delegated to supranational bodies. In Spain, moreover, there is a clear asymmetry between autonomy with self-management and self-financing capacity, and autonomy that clearly make no sense, putting us in a scenario of variable geometry. I admit is a concept not too lucky, when the aim is just political integration at European level, but describes well the English reality.

At European level, horizontal division of powers exists. There is a Luxembourg court exercising judicial power over the whole territory of the EU, ensuring the application of Community law. This affects all areas where it has made political delegation to Brussels. The European Parliament decision grows in power every time you update a Treaty of Union, although it remains the Council, Member States are, which marks policy decisions of great significance, not to mention the influence the Franco-German axis, just taking shape in a de facto asymmetry. In a sort of uneasy calm, everyone knows that the single currency has too many implications to now new battles over who holds the real power. The idea of \u200b\u200ba federal Europe has practical consequences, first centralized decision prevents chaos, and the other located to optimize management efficiency, sustained transfers of funds with a clear role of catching-up between regions. In Spain you have to deal with this debate that, properly understood, is the antithesis of excessive bureaucracy. As the European integration project, the process of reform of the regional administration in Spain involve waivers and pragmatism. And it appears that, despite being militant federalist Europe, extend this reflection even those who despise federalism.

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The importance of the entente between France and Germany

The famous Franco-German ... Both economies represent 33% of the European economy and 45% in the euro area, besides having 49% of the European Central Bank's capital. Both countries have policy instruments to take initiative and put pressure on the Council. The EU operates on three concentric circles: the EU-27, the Eurozone-17 and the Franco-German axis, the specificity of which dates back to the Elysée Treaty, signed between de Gaulle and Adenauer in 1963. Treaty which incidentally was expanded in 2003. Also have tools to work together: Council of Ministers Franco-German, German minister's presence in the French Cabinet and vice versa, etc. Paradoxically, some observers emphasize the diametrically opposed political structures of these two states, and that while France has a highly centralized government and centralized, the German executive is weaker, with much of sovereignty delegated to the Länder. In contrast, the German economy is much stronger and more competitive than the French. What can be the convergence point?

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The debate on "European Union Bill in Westminster reflects this untimely uneasy calm between the British and European ...

The British are exquisitely monarchists. We all enjoyed on occasion of those stale refinements and subtlety and elegance of its humor. I love England, from tiny, it is no secret, I admire his history of fighting for civil liberties, its spirit of the sea, its countryside, its tea and scones, the roast beef, sandwiches, Bingo Little and the butler Jeeves, the London fog, the bright acidity Shakespeare, the Oxfordian campus and Dickensian scenes, gin, colonial architecture, the eccentricities of Bloomsbury, the rebellion of Sithwell and Gibbons, Victorian doors, and why not? sober romanticism of Jane Austen. Politically this bombast

translates into excessive zeal for sovereignty. These days London debate in Parliament a new law to regulate and limit the intervention of the European Union laws on the British people. The House of Commons is a sacred place where the statue of Queen input brilliant orator Churchill. Also (as we have all visitors) is a that they can not access the monarchs from the time of Oliver Cromwell and the English republic shortly. So, these days the neo-Gothic building is a hive. The European Union called Bill born to controversy, of course, confirming the continuing trend towards British Insulation (reconfirmed with the division two years ago Tory party Cameron European People's Party), inclination to emulate or have emulated some other . The controversial

EUbill aims to tighten procedures to be applied (by the United Kingdom) certain Community decisions, such as reforms of the treaties. The press and the English political class are justifying this law in the context of the new European methods that facilitate legal reforms, as the European Parliament has more power, and are developing new mechanisms for acceleration of European economic government , which are driven primarily France and Germany.


not forget the importance of parliamentary sovereignty to the British, since it is the legal doctrine which states that in the UK parliament is the supreme legislative authority, even over the courts, which case may revoke any statute. In fact, there is a parallel debate in British society on the desirability of further prosecution, ie, getting the courts to limit parliamentary power, if it undermines the rule of law. In practice you reach the end of the British parliament can legislate on everything, without restriction, provided they do not limit their own power (or their successors), ie the House of Commons is the sanctity of sovereignty, civil power, really. The problem is when overlapping sovereignties and powers, as is the case in the European Union.

The British, very suspicious of them, want not miss Westminster detail and, above all, occupy the prominence that has been historically. The basic idea is that the British do not want Brussels to force them to obey laws they do not like. To clarify, this law states that (1) a referendum will be held throughout the UK every time you propose a change to the Treaty to transfer national powers to the EU, (2) will be approved by an Act of Parliament before resort to a passerelle clause ** of the EU Treaty (which also imply a referendum, in the case of the bridge would result in a transfer of competence to Brussels); (3) the UK will ratify a protocol to have more seats in Parliament and 11 European Member States in this term, (4) will be requested sovereignty clause in the European Communities Act 1972, confirming that remains the ultimate legal authority in the British Parliament, not the European Union.

Anyway, I think that the four points speak for themselves. In its extreme version up to and including the abandonment of the European Union by the United Kingdom. In fact, the Lisbon Treaty already provides that any member state can leave freely join the club. In its milder version would be to adapt the European law or comply with the "more convenient" for British tastes. However, they should not forget that the British taste may involve breach of the European standard, and therefore result in fines.

So far, the United Kingdom parliamentary sovereignty has been clear, even with this law that seek to adopt, by introducing the referendum, would be turning toward popular sovereignty in areas that have to do with international law, or rather supranational if EU level. Anyway, this is the first law anti-federalist in the history of European integration. A law that seeks to distance, stopping the process building of political Europe. Some say that if approved this EUbill, demonstrate that De Gaulle was right in his thesis on the British. Mistrust are islanders feel the weight of history. Fear.

Do not get me wrong, the English Parliament can not stop European integration is irreversible, for Better and for Worse, in sickness and in health ... The European Union Bill actually comes only to demonstrate that political Europe is getting closer. Political opportunism is also evident. Anyway, I can think of another reading, although I have too elaborate the Theoretically, it could be that this law had been created as a safeguard (a kind of preventive vaccine) against political interference by the EU as an approximation mechanism prior to the euro, because in my opinion, and sooner rather than ; later, the British adopted the single currency on behalf of their commercial interests. The UK in the eurozone is a time bomb when EMU approaches unity shared budget and taxation. Legally covered their backs (with the EUbill) sovereignty would not be threatened, especially taxation. The UK has in its hands the decision, you can choose to move away continental Europe, but maybe now there are so many willing to fight to retain them. **



A passerelle clause is such that it allows the European Council authorize the Board to adopt certain measures by qualified majority, in the case of policies falling within the scope of unanimity (such as fiscal policy or security).

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December was a month in Cordoba ... with bloggers

Parliament gives us this short video that summarizes and compresses that sunny weekend blogging , tweetting and, above all, European complicity in Cordoba. I miss many brilliant interventions in this court, missing some faces, but there is no doubt that the video captures the spirit. My total thanks to Nacho Samper, Director of the European Parliament Office in Spain, for their hospitality, warmth and dynamism, and the whole team, especially the sweet and efficient Matina, and the perfectionist Damian and Victor, etc. to make possible an encounter so intense and rewarding.
By the way, but sometimes looks a little confused, I remember well that someone promised a gathering of bloggers from across the European Union in Brussels, and more "intimate" in Strasbourg. For the record on record, and the wind did not take him ...


[Has selected a small cut of my quick thoughts, from about 2.15 minutes.]

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Europe, what value or price? Purpose

I do not know if the thesis Machado how foolish he is the one that confuses value with price, but that apparently harmless reflection becomes effective with the passage of time. There are those who act as if they had not lost value price, and not just talk about liberals, it is sufficient to refer to the Law Sinde a simple reflection of the fear of Red in those who handle the power. Sinde intended to defend the rights of "cultural workers" in a world where everything is copied and reproduced immediately. I do not think the problem is in the consumer, of course, lots of selfless acts performed in the network, often creating, translating, adapting and sharing. I admit that I am remarkably secular in internautical beyond blogger and twitter , but I sense a very vibrant world where people share things and creations. I wonder what place is the visibility and resonance the network gives to her creations. Today the artist has free online marketing, distribution, is not it a dream? In addition. We will not stop going to concerts, the cinema or an art gallery by having him to blow click. American industry has data to support the losses they caused by English pirates. I understand. Should be established while the limit of the crime. To strive a little. How easy is repression. The easy thing is to try to maintain a monopoly. This concept arroba them to politicians of all colors.

Perhaps a contemporary poet should highlight the gulf between the power and honesty. Today the real value is daring to say no gag, what are so few that are dissolved in the magma of the confusion. Most are absorbed by political interests. Indeed, political parties in Spain autoblindan a law which exempts from criminal liability to their negligence. How beautiful it is complaining about the bubble in Brussels where here each preserves his political stall legal tricks. Years since I gave up hope of any true citizen revolt. I guess my form of rebellion is to focus on European policy, further away from short-termism and immediate partisan interests.

In the European institutions make the effort to assess global things. In Spain there There is honesty in political debate, and as we are in the municipal election campaign by May, nobody in the world of government and the opposition says the truth and not even what you think. Incidentally day transcends these two former Presidents, Gonzalez and Aznar to be more precise, they become part of two private companies strategically crucial to the future of energy in Spain (Gas Natural and Endesa). The resulting moral reserve me, the consequences will be multiple, without forgetting the obvious intrusion of the public sphere in the field of private enterprise. Inside information concerned and worried about the lack of transparency. To me yes. I am concerned that decisions are made conditional on private enterprise by government interests, or vice versa. I worry because it undermines the essential freedom is less transparent version of interventionism more biased.

By the way, have three days to finalize the state of alarm. We are alarmed since when? I remember coming back from San Sebastian, with the jumper in the making, AENA hours before it decided to close the airspace. I do not know if at this point remember that detail, not insignificant "that it closed airspace AENA (state enterprise) and not the drivers. We have seen in recent weeks as the above company was put to work to attract drivers from other EU countries apparently are not interested in giving better working conditions than those prevailing here. I say good. And I thought they were the privileged ones here. Someone to clear. Precisely speaking labor mobility today the Commission, which disseminates Annual Growth Report for 2011, which speaks of many reasonable measures, including the European-level restructuring of the economy, which implies some timing issues, to mobilize the labor market. That need not doubt it, which is in the minds of the leaders is not so obvious. I do not know, but I with doubt about many things. For every case. Be wary of what they want them to believe that nothing is as it seems, and certainly value and price is not the same. Remember the Financial Stability Forum, signed in May? Now amounts to 440 billion euros . That is the current price to preserve the euro, ergo the European project, our European Union, which is real, tangible, defined. For me the European project is priceless because its value is immense. Now more than ever. It is strange that for upward political contributions have to be listed on the rise also in the stock market paradoxically, also known as market "values" ...

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2011: travel to Tallinn with the EURO in the portfolio

This 2011 that began as harmonious and promising has turned overnight a hell of uncertainty, not only in the Eurozone. Oh, what a week back to school we had prepared the inscrutable destiny ... Impossible to escape defeatist messages to particular threats and official denials. There is always something in the way we transmit information magnetized feet to the floor. Tired and the ghost of "Argentinization" which bore a flight conjecture personal wealth, always annoy the ashes of their messages against the euro. Look, look eg how are Japan and the United States. But no. Here erre que erre with the eurozone. Suffice it to spend a couple of minutes twitter or dive into the teletype to realize that the speculative world makes their own, not only in Portugal, Spain or Italy. Last week there was a sort of debacle of the euro and the ECB is already de facto issuing Eurobonds and buying government bonds. Read the business press, although not much to analyze a priori, because it sounds like more of the same. Worse, if we believed that nobody in their right mind would encarnizaría against its own currency, miss. Some are doing.

Because there are two factors, monetary stability and competitiveness of the economy. If growth is sustained and sustainable sovereign default is avoided and therefore strengthens the monetary stability. Spain is not growing yet, but the euro will survive, that I have no doubt. The amazing thing is that in the meantime, those who speculate in foreign currency debt and strive to further complicate, already, controversial life of this currency, the euro, which in the middle childhood (10 years) are required of adult behavior. Time to time. Patience, for the love of God. Both speak of the relationship between bank risk and the future of the euro. In these cases it is useful to refer to other monetary unions prior to their evolution. The most obvious example is the United States, which took more than a century to build an optimum currency area, or even viable, previously distinct atavesando banking crisis in the states of the federation, secession attempts currency, etc. The observed instability was associated with adjustment costs in the various regional agricultural or financial crisis. First introduced the "yellowback", which ran between 1861 and 1879 on the Pacific coast, but eventually opted for the fiscal federalism on interregional transfers, under the auspices of the Fed.

the crisis in the eurozone is related to the budget deficit in the Member States, with housing bubbles, balance of payments, bank inconsistency and risk crossings between states. Within the eurozone, the German economy has been that the ECB has allowed banks to ensure liquidity in Greek, English, Portuguese and Irish. The normalization of the interbank market in late 2009 was made possible by some Member States, which has forced the ECB's requirement that the Irish rescue plan incorporates the recapitalization of 10 billion euros. He has worked in Greece, Ireland , and this week probably in Portugal, the famous Europe Financial Stability Fund (FEEF) set last May. Now come the Eurobond y. ..

Sooner or later

economic governance with the fiscal unit. Again, patience. So to sweeten the wait, I proposed to study the Baltic, taking advantage of Tallinn (together with the Finnish Turku) has been declared European Cultural Capital in 2011. The Estonian capital has a long tradition of theater, museums, literary and enjoys a great National Opera Theatre. Good weather in summer and my daughter and I are great cultural travelers. Do not miss the chance to meet Estonia. The balance will not go away, no matter what happens in the minds of speculators. We will travel to Tallinn with the euro in the portfolio. Life goes on, long live the euro.